The militant forces that rose to power in Russia at the end of the 1990s have increasingly normalised violence in internal and international policy, and have managed to suppress the groups that were interested in peaceful development. Rather than creating a state monopoly on violence, they have diffused it across society. The war in Ukraine is a culmination of this process of decivilising Russia.
Sociologist Svetlana Stephenson discusses why the segments of society who rely on violence in domestic and foreign policy have prevailed in Russia, and how this has led to the war in Ukraine.
By 2022, Russia had reached the highest level of prosperity in the country’s history. But at the same time, part of the population was gripped by a desire for death and destruction.
Although direct parallels rarely work in history, it can nonetheless be said that, as a result of the crisis of the 1990s, social groups with an authoritarian and militarist ethos came to power in Russia as well. It is these groups that were able to crush the weak shoots of Russian democracy.
Gangsters on top
However, by the early 2000s, once the main battles over assets had died down, it seemed that the country was gradually turning to the path of peaceful development. With the strengthening of the state, economic recovery, and the country’s entry into the system of global ties and institutions, violence should have faded into the shadows.
But that did not happen.
After being installed in the Kremlin by Yeltsin’s entourage at the end of the 1990s, Putin and his associates, who had gone through the battles of the previous decade, perceived the power now placed in their hands as a personal instrument of control and wealth accumulation. Now they were the kingpins.
This group neither understood nor needed democracy, which they saw as a chaotic and difficult-to-manage process. Moreover, before their rise to power, Vladimir Putin and his inner circle were second order figures — not particularly well-educated, with a string of failures in their wake, burdened by insecurities and resentments. And even though at first many of them did not subscribe to nationalist ideology, and might even have considered themselves to be Western-oriented, they gradually and inescapably drifted towards nationalism.
As was the case with Hitler and his associates, nationalist ideology gave both the authorities and the masses a sense of power and superiority. Revenge against the democrats who “ruined the country” and then against the West, from which Putin and his entourage felt peripheral, was long overdue, taking shape as a clear intention after the Bolotnaya Square protests in 2011 and the annexation of Crimea three years later.
Backed by missiles
Much has been written and said about the reasons for the defeat of the forces that might have prevented the decivilising process in Russia. These include the lack of political experience among the middle classes as well as the growing dependence of the oligarchs on the Kremlin court. Another major factor in the defeat of the opposition has, of course, been the annexation of Crimea.
Elias writes that Germany’s military victories in the late 19th century led to the weakening of democratic forces: “the victory of the German armies over France was simultaneously a victory of the German [militaristic] aristocracy over the German middle class”.
The same can be said about the annexation of Crimea in 2014. This “victory”, enthusiastically received by the population, was also a victory for the militant coalition in power over those who envisaged Russia’s peaceful development. Those people who rejoiced at the time that “Crimea is ours” did not realise that ahead of them lay a major war, impoverishment, and the destruction of their children’s future.
With the Crimean victory, the “successful” Syrian campaign, and the further accumulation of military power, the militaristic ethos and ambitions of the authorities grew stronger and stronger. As Sergei Karaganov, one of Putin’s main ideologues and Honorary Chairman of the Council on Foreign and Defence Policy, said shortly before the invasion: “The process of restoring Russian statehood, Russian influence, Russian power, which had been going on for quite a long time, has simply come to the surface… Now as our strength, especially military strength, accumulated and the geopolitical situation changed, we felt the right to demand, not to ask”.
Confident that they now had the required military strength, the Russian top brass were finally ready to take revenge. They saw the West as a weak enemy, incapable of fighting back with resolve.